i can go over exclusive details in a vm but i wanna set a basic understanding
The first one was something I was gonna use on Dallas regardless, though I expected an axe or another advantage because I assumed the fishing rod was discarded, but both ways would’ve been a method of gathering the votes in my favor. Playing it on AK was determined from conversations with others (bc i had NOT talked to dallas

#Oops) I had gathered the target was Ak because of how people perceived his position in the game (flipping to vote out riley, flipping back), ale and ak informing me that people were not happy with ak, and the final nail was when the axe was played to steal carlee’s vote. Any survivor player knows you do NOT steal the targets vote, sealing my belief the real target wasn’t Carlee.
The second one was a lot clearer, with me determining I was the vote through process of elimination (they already came for carlee and ak before, ale was immune, i had a new threat level), and came to ale with the slingshot plan as a way to damage control him, knowing i would’ve stolen that shovel regardless. the vote split also happened because I knew there was still a shovel and a stone axe in the game, because if they were played and had all votes been negated, and ally likely goes in the revote because of the advantages carrying over.
Also! i have a huge chart on my mac showing bell estimations and all advantages that were bought, hidden, and still somewhere in the game to best expect who had what that i can show when i get home!!